Wake Forest
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 79.1724Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 829 H Kennesaw St CUSA (10- 4, 73.9) 10- 9 906 H We Carolina 42-10 911 H NC St ACC ( 9- 4, 83.0) 24-34 927 H Georgia Tech ACC ( 9- 4, 80.9) 29-30 1004 A Va Tech ACC ( 2-10, 71.0) 30-23 1011 A Oregon St P12 ( 2-10, 62.9) 39-14 1025 H SMU ACC ( 8- 4, 83.7) 13-12 1101 A Florida St ACC ( 5- 7, 79.5) 7-42 1108 A Virginia ACC (11- 3, 84.5) 16- 9 1115 H UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 28-12 1122 H Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 52-14 1129 A Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 81.2) 32-49 102 N Miss St SEC ( 5- 8, 76.8) 43-29
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
829 H Kennesaw St 10- 9 1 11 --- -9.50
911 H NC St 24-34 -10 1 --- -11.45
927 H Georgia Tech 29-30 -1 4 -- -4.55
1004 A Va Tech 30-23 7 3 ++ 4.08
1011 A Oregon St 39-14 25 11 + 3.02
1025 H SMU 13-12 1 1 0.25
1101 A Florida St 7-42 -35 -6 --- -8.43
1108 A Virginia 16- 9 7 -11 +++ 17.63
1115 H UNC 28-12 16 10 ++ 4.03
1122 H Delaware 52-14 38 14 0.05
1129 A Duke 32-49 -17 -7 --- -6.76
102 N Miss St 43-29 14 2 +++ 11.63
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 829 H Kennesaw St 10- 9 1 11 --- -9.50 911 H NC St 24-34 -10 1 --- -11.45 1101 A Florida St 7-42 -35 -6 --- -8.43 1129 A Duke 32-49 -17 -7 --- -6.76 927 H Georgia Tech 29-30 -1 4 -- -4.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 A Virginia 16- 9 7 -11 +++ 17.63 102 N Miss St 43-29 14 2 +++ 11.63 1004 A Va Tech 30-23 7 3 ++ 4.08 1115 H UNC 28-12 16 10 ++ 4.03 1011 A Oregon St 39-14 25 11 + 3.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Kennesaw St (10- 4, 73.9) 10- 9 -25.97 25.25 -5.26 1.06 42.48
3 H NC St ( 9- 4, 83.0) 24-34 -16.92 34.30 -5.26 1.06 -11.78
3 H Georgia Tech ( 9- 4, 80.9) 29-30 -19.02 32.20 -5.26 1.06 -12.90
3 A Va Tech ( 2-10, 71.0) 30-23 -28.90 22.32 5.26 1.06 58.60
3 A Oregon St ( 2-10, 62.9) 39-14 -36.96 14.26 5.26 1.06 41.47
3 H SMU ( 8- 4, 83.7) 13-12 -16.22 35.00 -5.26 1.06 63.19
3 A Florida St ( 5- 7, 79.5) 7-42 -20.41 30.81 5.26 1.06 -8.05
3 A Virginia (11- 3, 84.5) 16- 9 -15.36 35.86 5.26 1.06 87.38
3 H UNC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 28-12 -25.43 25.78 -5.26 1.06 43.62
3 H Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 52-14 -29.42 21.80 -5.26 1.06 35.15
3 A Duke ( 9- 5, 81.2) 32-49 -18.74 32.48 5.26 1.06 -7.16
3 N Miss St ( 5- 8, 76.8) 43-29 -23.10 28.12 -0.00 1.06 59.76
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391.74
|
winning pts = 431.6365 losing points = -39.8962
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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